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SCO Scotia - Premiership · Round 1 ·

St Mirren vs St Johnstone

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.75 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde46%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți29%
Baseline forecastVictorie gazdeTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde46% selection probability
Projected score2–1St MirrenSt Johnstone
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste52% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
46% / 25% / 29%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Șansă dublă1275%1.33
Peste 52% · Sub 48%Goals 2.5Peste52%1.92
Da 55% · Nu 45%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55%1.82
2.75 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
St Mirren win46%2.17
Egal25%4.00
St Johnstone win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Mirren1.56

Gazde share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 52% · Sub 48%

St Johnstone1.19

Oaspeți share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 55% · Nu 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

St Mirren

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

St Johnstone

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Câștig probability excluding draw
29%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.56
Expected goals
1.19
St MirrenSt Johnstone
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Mirren signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St Johnstone signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

St Mirren vs St Johnstone FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Mirren câștig 46%,Egal 25%,St Johnstone câștig 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Peste 2.5 52% · Current selection Peste