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ENG Angleterre - National League South · Match ·

Dorking vs Dag & Red

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile47%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur28%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile47% selection probability
Projected score2–1DorkingDag & Red
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de56% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
47% / 25% / 28%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Double chance1274.9%1.34
Plus de 56% · Moins de 44%Goals 2.5Plus de56%1.79
Oui 56% · Non 44%Les deux équipes marquentOui56%1.79
2.91 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.3%Largest probability gapDorking winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dorking win47%2.131.9546.5%+0.5 pp
Nul25%4.003.6025.2%-0.2 pp
Dag & Red win28%3.573.2028.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dorking1.82

Domicile share of expected goals 62.5%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 56% · Moins de 44%

Dag & Red1.09

Extérieur share of expected goals 37.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 56% · Non 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Dorking

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Dag & Red

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gagné probability excluding draw
28%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.82
Expected goals
1.09
DorkingDag & Red
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dorking signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dag & Red signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Dorking vs Dag & Red FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dorking victoire 47%,Nul 25%,Dag & Red victoire 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Plus de 2.5 56% · Current selection Plus de