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ENG England - National League South · Spiel ·

Dorking vs Dagenham & Redbridge

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg47%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg28%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg47% selection probability
Projected score2–1DorkingDagenham & Redbridge
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über56% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
47% / 25% / 28%SpielergebnisHeimsieg47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Doppelte Chance1274.9%1.34
Über 56% · Unter 44%Goals 2.5Über56%1.79
Ja 56% · Nein 44%Beide Teams treffenJa56%1.79
2.91 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.0 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.3%Largest probability gapDorking winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dorking win47%2.131.9546.5%+0.5 pp
Unentschieden25%4.003.6025.2%-0.2 pp
Dagenham & Redbridge win28%3.573.2028.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dorking1.82

Heim share of expected goals 62.5%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 56% · Unter 44%

Dagenham & Redbridge1.09

Auswärts share of expected goals 37.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nein 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Dorking

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Dagenham & Redbridge

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
28%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.82
Expected goals
1.09
DorkingDagenham & Redbridge
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dorking signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dagenham & Redbridge signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Dorking vs Dagenham & Redbridge FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dorking Gewinn 47%,Unentschieden 25%,Dagenham & Redbridge Gewinn 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Über 2.5 56% · Current selection Über