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ENG Anglicko - National League South · Zápas ·

Dorking vs Dag & Red

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich47%
Remíza27%
Výhra hostí26%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich47% selection probability
Projected score2–1DorkingDag & Red
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac56% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
47% / 27% / 26%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dag & Red win (25.9%)Dvojitá šanca1X74.1%1.35
Viac 56% · Menej 44%Goals 2.5Viac56%1.79
Áno 56% · Nie 44%Oba tímy skórujúÁno56%1.79
2.91 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
10.0 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Dorking win47%2.13
Remíza27%3.70
Dag & Red win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dorking1.82

Domáci share of expected goals 62.5%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 56% · Menej 44%

Dag & Red1.09

Hostia share of expected goals 37.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 56% · Nie 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Dorking

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Dag & Red

0.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Body2

SignalHostia matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Výhra probability excluding draw
26%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.82
Expected goals
1.09
DorkingDag & Red
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dorking signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dag & Red signalHostia matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Dorking vs Dag & Red FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dorking výhra 47%,Remíza 27%,Dag & Red výhra 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Viac 2.5 56% · Current selection Viac