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ENG Anglia - National League South · Meci ·

Dorking vs Dag & Red

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde47%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți28%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde47% selection probability
Projected score2–1DorkingDag & Red
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste56% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
47% / 25% / 28%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Șansă dublă1274.9%1.34
Peste 56% · Sub 44%Goals 2.5Peste56%1.79
Da 56% · Nu 44%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa56%1.79
2.91 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.3%Largest probability gapDorking winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dorking win47%2.131.9546.5%+0.5 pp
Egal25%4.003.6025.2%-0.2 pp
Dag & Red win28%3.573.2028.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dorking1.82

Gazde share of expected goals 62.5%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 56% · Sub 44%

Dag & Red1.09

Oaspeți share of expected goals 37.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 56% · Nu 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Dorking

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Dag & Red

0.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puncte2

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Câștig probability excluding draw
28%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.82
Expected goals
1.09
DorkingDag & Red
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dorking signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dag & Red signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Dorking vs Dag & Red FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dorking câștig 47%,Egal 25%,Dag & Red câștig 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Peste 2.5 56% · Current selection Peste