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ENG England - National League South · Round 1 ·

Billericay vs Dover

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg45%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg30%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg45% selection probability
Projected score2–1BillericayDover
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über54% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
45% / 25% / 30%SpielergebnisHeimsieg45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Doppelte Chance1275%1.33
Über 54% · Unter 46%Goals 2.5Über54%1.85
Ja 57% · Nein 43%Beide Teams treffenJa57%1.75
2.84 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Billericay win45%2.222.0045%
Unentschieden25%4.003.6025%
Dover win30%3.333.0030%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Billericay1.59

Heim share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 54% · Unter 46%

Dover1.25

Auswärts share of expected goals 44%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nein 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Billericay

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Dover

0.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkte1

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
30%
11
Points from supplied form
1
1.59
Expected goals
1.25
BillericayDover
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Billericay signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dover signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Billericay vs Dover FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Billericay Gewinn 45%,Unentschieden 25%,Dover Gewinn 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Über 2.5 54% · Current selection Über