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ENG Angleterre - National League South · Round 1 ·

Billericay vs Dover

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile46%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur30%
Baseline forecastVictoire à domicileTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile46% selection probability
Projected score2–1BillericayDover
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de54% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
46% / 25% / 30%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Double chance1275.4%1.33
Plus de 54% · Moins de 46%Goals 2.5Plus de54%1.85
Oui 57% · Non 43%Les deux équipes marquentOui57%1.75
2.84 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Billericay win46%2.17
Nul25%4.00
Dover win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Billericay1.60

Domicile share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 54% · Moins de 46%

Dover1.24

Extérieur share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 57% · Non 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Billericay

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Dover

0.20pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gagné probability excluding draw
30%
11
Points from supplied form
1
1.60
Expected goals
1.24
BillericayDover
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Billericay signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dover signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Billericay vs Dover FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Billericay victoire 46%,Nul 25%,Dover victoire 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Plus de 2.5 54% · Current selection Plus de