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ENG England - National League South · Round 1 ·

Billericay vs Dover

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger46%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger30%
Baseline forecastHemmasegerTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger46% selection probability
Projected score2–1BillericayDover
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
46% / 25% / 30%MatchresultatHemmaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Dubbelchans1275.4%1.33
Över 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Över54%1.85
Ja 57% · Nej 43%Båda lagen gör målJa57%1.75
2.84 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Billericay win46%2.17
Oavgjort25%4.00
Dover win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Billericay1.60

Hemma share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 54% · Under 46%

Dover1.24

Borta share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nej 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Billericay

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Dover

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
30%
11
Points from supplied form
1
1.60
Expected goals
1.24
BillericayDover
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Billericay signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dover signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Billericay vs Dover FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Billericay vunnen 46%,Oavgjort 25%,Dover vunnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Över 2.5 54% · Current selection Över