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ENG Inghilterra - National League Sud · Round 1 ·

Billericay vs Dover

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa46%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite30%
Baseline forecastVittoria casaTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa46% selection probability
Projected score2–1BillericayDover
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra54% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
46% / 25% / 30%Esito partitaVittoria casa46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Doppia Chance1275.4%1.33
Sopra 54% · Sotto 46%Goals 2.5Sopra54%1.85
Sì 57% · No 43%Entrambe le squadre segnano57%1.75
2.84 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Billericay win46%2.17
Pareggio25%4.00
Dover win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Billericay1.60

Casa share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 54% · Sotto 46%

Dover1.24

Trasferta share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Billericay

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Dover

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vinta probability excluding draw
30%
11
Points from supplied form
1
1.60
Expected goals
1.24
BillericayDover
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Billericay signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dover signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Billericay vs Dover FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Billericay vinta 46%,Pareggio 25%,Dover vinta 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Sopra 2.5 54% · Current selection Sopra