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ENG Anglia - National League South · Round 1 ·

Billericay vs Dover

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde46%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți30%
Baseline forecastVictorie gazdeTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde46% selection probability
Projected score2–1BillericayDover
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste54% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
46% / 25% / 30%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Șansă dublă1275.4%1.33
Peste 54% · Sub 46%Goals 2.5Peste54%1.85
Da 57% · Nu 43%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57%1.75
2.84 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Billericay win46%2.17
Egal25%4.00
Dover win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Billericay1.60

Gazde share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 54% · Sub 46%

Dover1.24

Oaspeți share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 57% · Nu 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Billericay

2.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puncte11

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Dover

0.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puncte1

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Câștig probability excluding draw
30%
11
Points from supplied form
1
1.60
Expected goals
1.24
BillericayDover
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Billericay signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dover signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Billericay vs Dover FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Billericay câștig 46%,Egal 25%,Dover câștig 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Peste 2.5 54% · Current selection Peste