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BRA Brésil - Série D · Match ·

Goiatuba vs ASA

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.76 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile33%
Nul32%
Victoire à l’extérieur36%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur36% selection probability
Projected score1–1GoiatubaASA
Expected goals1.76Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de74% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
33% / 32% / 36%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.5%)Double chance1268.5%1.46
Plus de 26% · Moins de 74%Goals 2.5Moins de74%1.35
Oui 34% · Non 66%Les deux équipes marquentNon66%1.52
1.76 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapGoiatuba winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Goiatuba win33%3.032.8032.1%+0.9 pp
Nul32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp
ASA win36%2.782.4536.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Goiatuba0.98

Domicile share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals1.76Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 26% · Moins de 74%

ASA0.78

Extérieur share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 34% · Non 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Goiatuba

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

ASA

3.00pts / match
Joués5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gagné probability excluding draw
36%
12
Points from supplied form
15
0.98
Expected goals
0.78
GoiatubaASA
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Goiatuba signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ASA signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Goiatuba vs ASA FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Goiatuba victoire 33%,Nul 32%,ASA victoire 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.76 · Plus de 2.5 26% · Current selection Moins de