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BRA Brasil - Serie D · Partido ·

Goiatuba vs ASA

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.76 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local33%
Empate32%
Victoria visitante36%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante36% selection probability
Projected score1–1GoiatubaASA
Expected goals1.76Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de74% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
33% / 32% / 36%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.5%)Doble Oportunidad1268.5%1.46
Más de 26% · Menos de 74%Goals 2.5Menos de74%1.35
Sí 34% · No 66%Ambos equipos marcanNo66%1.52
1.76 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapGoiatuba winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Goiatuba win33%3.032.8032.1%+0.9 pp
Empate32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp
ASA win36%2.782.4536.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Goiatuba0.98

Local share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals1.76Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 26% · Menos de 74%

ASA0.78

Visitante share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 34% · No 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Goiatuba

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

ASA

3.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puntos15

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Ganado probability excluding draw
36%
12
Points from supplied form
15
0.98
Expected goals
0.78
GoiatubaASA
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Goiatuba signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ASA signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Goiatuba vs ASA FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Goiatuba ganada 33%,Empate 32%,ASA ganada 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.76 · Más de 2.5 26% · Current selection Menos de