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BRA Бразилия - Серия D · Мач ·

Гоятуба vs АСА

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–11.76 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина33%
Равен32%
Победа за госта36%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта36% selection probability
Projected score1–1ГоятубаАСА
Expected goals1.76Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под74% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
33% / 32% / 36%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.5%)Двоен шанс1268.5%1.46
Над 26% · Под 74%Goals 2.5Под74%1.35
Да 34% · Не 66%И двата отбора да отбележатНе66%1.52
1.76 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.1 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapГоятуба winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Гоятуба win33%3.032.8032.1%+0.9 pp
Равен32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp
АСА win36%2.782.4536.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Гоятуба0.98

Домакин share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals1.76Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 26% · Под 74%

АСА0.78

Гост share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 34% · Не 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Гоятуба

2.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Точки12

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

АСА

3.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Точки15

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
36%
12
Points from supplied form
15
0.98
Expected goals
0.78
ГоятубаАСА
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Гоятуба signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02АСА signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Гоятуба vs АСА FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Гоятуба печеливш 33%,Равен 32%,АСА печеливш 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.76 · Над 2.5 26% · Current selection Под