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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

O Elvas vs CD Fátima

Prediction review

Local form
Final score1–1Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local32%
Empate31%
Victoria visitante37%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante37% selection probability
Projected score1–1O ElvasCD Fátima
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de63% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
32% / 31% / 37%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.5%)Doble Oportunidad1268.5%1.46
Más de 37% · Menos de 63%Goals 2.5Menos de63%1.59
Sí 45% · No 55%Ambos equipos marcanNo55%1.82
2.19 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
O Elvas win32%3.13
Empate31%3.23
CD Fátima win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

O Elvas1.02

Local share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 37% · Menos de 63%

CD Fátima1.17

Visitante share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

O Elvas

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puntos6

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CD Fátima

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Ganado probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.02
Expected goals
1.17
O ElvasCD Fátima
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01O Elvas signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Fátima signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

O Elvas vs CD Fátima FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

O Elvas ganada 32%,Empate 31%,CD Fátima ganada 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Más de 2.5 37% · Current selection Menos de