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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

O Elvas vs Fatima

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score1–1Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg32%
Unentschieden31%
Auswärtssieg37%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg37% selection probability
Projected score1–1O ElvasFatima
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter63% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
32% / 31% / 37%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.5%)Doppelte Chance1268.5%1.46
Über 37% · Unter 63%Goals 2.5Unter63%1.59
Ja 45% · Nein 55%Beide Teams treffenNein55%1.82
2.19 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.2 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
O Elvas win32%3.13
Unentschieden31%3.23
Fatima win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

O Elvas1.02

Heim share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 37% · Unter 63%

Fatima1.17

Auswärts share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nein 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

O Elvas

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Fatima

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.02
Expected goals
1.17
O ElvasFatima
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01O Elvas signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fatima signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

O Elvas vs Fatima FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

O Elvas Gewinn 32%,Unentschieden 31%,Fatima Gewinn 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Über 2.5 37% · Current selection Unter