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PRT Portogallo - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

O Elvas vs CD Fatima

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score1–1Pronostico 1–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa32%
Pareggio31%
Vittoria ospite37%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Perso
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite37% selection probability
Projected score1–1O ElvasCD Fatima
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto63% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
32% / 31% / 37%Esito partitaVittoria ospite37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.5%)Doppia Chance1268.5%1.46
Sopra 37% · Sotto 63%Goals 2.5Sotto63%1.59
Sì 45% · No 55%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55%1.82
2.19 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
O Elvas win32%3.13
Pareggio31%3.23
CD Fatima win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

O Elvas1.02

Casa share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 37% · Sotto 63%

CD Fatima1.17

Trasferta share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

O Elvas

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

CD Fatima

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Vinta probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.02
Expected goals
1.17
O ElvasCD Fatima
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01O Elvas signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Fatima signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

O Elvas vs CD Fatima FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

O Elvas vinta 32%,Pareggio 31%,CD Fatima vinta 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Sopra 2.5 37% · Current selection Sotto