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PRT Πορτογαλία - Καμπεονάτο Νασιονάλ · Final ·

Ο Έλβας vs Φατιμά

Prediction review

Γηπεδούχος form
Final score1–1Πρόβλεψη 1–1
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου32%
Ισοπαλία31%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου37%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Αποτυχία
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ο ΈλβαςΦατιμά
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω63% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
32% / 31% / 37%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.5%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1268.5%1.46
Άνω 37% · Κάτω 63%Goals 2.5Κάτω63%1.59
Ναι 45% · Όχι 55%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι55%1.82
2.19 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Ο Έλβας win32%3.13
Ισοπαλία31%3.23
Φατιμά win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ο Έλβας1.02

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 37% · Κάτω 63%

Φατιμά1.17

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 45% · Όχι 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ο Έλβας

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Φατιμά

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.02
Expected goals
1.17
Ο ΈλβαςΦατιμά
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ο Έλβας signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Φατιμά signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Ο Έλβας vs Φατιμά FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ο Έλβας νίκη 32%,Ισοπαλία 31%,Φατιμά νίκη 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Άνω 2.5 37% · Current selection Κάτω