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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense FC

Prediction review

Local form
Final score1–1Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local44%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante28%
Baseline forecastVictoria localTier C · 44% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local44% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD NogueirenseSertanense FC
Expected goals2.38Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de57% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
44% / 27% / 28%Resultado del partidoVictoria local44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Doble Oportunidad1272.7%1.38
Más de 43% · Menos de 57%Goals 2.5Menos de57%1.75
Sí 48% · No 52%Ambos equipos marcanNo52%1.92
2.38 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
AD Nogueirense win44%2.27
Empate27%3.70
Sertanense FC win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Nogueirense1.36

Local share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals2.38Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 43% · Menos de 57%

Sertanense FC1.02

Visitante share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

AD Nogueirense

0.00pts / match
Jugados0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Puntos0

SignalNo recent signal

Visitante-context · form sequence

Sertanense FC

0.00pts / match
Jugados1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Puntos0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganado probability excluding draw
28%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.36
Expected goals
1.02
AD NogueirenseSertanense FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Nogueirense signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sertanense FC signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Nogueirense ganada 44%,Empate 27%,Sertanense FC ganada 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.38 · Más de 2.5 43% · Current selection Menos de