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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–1Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile44%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur28%
Baseline forecastVictoire à domicileTier C · 44% selection probability
Prediction Perdu
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile44% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD NogueirenseSertanense
Expected goals2.38Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de57% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
44% / 27% / 28%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Double chance1272.7%1.38
Plus de 43% · Moins de 57%Goals 2.5Moins de57%1.75
Oui 48% · Non 52%Les deux équipes marquentNon52%1.92
2.38 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
AD Nogueirense win44%2.27
Nul27%3.70
Sertanense win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Nogueirense1.36

Domicile share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals2.38Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 43% · Moins de 57%

Sertanense1.02

Extérieur share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 48% · Non 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

AD Nogueirense

0.00pts / match
Joués0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNon recent signal

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Sertanense

0.00pts / match
Joués1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalNon recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gagné probability excluding draw
28%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.36
Expected goals
1.02
AD NogueirenseSertanense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Nogueirense signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sertanense signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Nogueirense victoire 44%,Nul 27%,Sertanense victoire 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.38 · Plus de 2.5 43% · Current selection Moins de