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PRT Portugalsko - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense

Prediction review

Domácí form
Final score1–1Předpověď 1–1
Hosté form
Výhra domácích44%
Remíza27%
Výhra hostů28%
Baseline forecastVýhra domácíchTier C · 44% selection probability
Prediction Neúspěšná
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích44% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD NogueirenseSertanense
Expected goals2.38Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Méně57% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
44% / 27% / 28%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Dvojitá šance1272.7%1.38
Více 43% · Méně 57%Goals 2.5Méně57%1.75
Ano 48% · Ne 52%Oba týmy skórujíNe52%1.92
2.38 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
9.2 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
AD Nogueirense win44%2.27
Remíza27%3.70
Sertanense win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Nogueirense1.36

Domácí share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals2.38Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 43% · Méně 57%

Sertanense1.02

Hosté share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 48% · Ne 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

AD Nogueirense

0.00pts / match
Odehráno0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Body0

SignalNe recent signal

Hosté-context · form sequence

Sertanense

0.00pts / match
Odehráno1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Body0

SignalNe recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Výhra probability excluding draw
28%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.36
Expected goals
1.02
AD NogueirenseSertanense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Nogueirense signalNe recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sertanense signalNe recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Nogueirense výhra 44%,Remíza 27%,Sertanense výhra 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.38 · Více 2.5 43% · Current selection Méně