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PRT Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–1Prognose 1–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier44%
Uavgjort27%
Borteseier28%
Baseline forecastHjemmeseierTier C · 44% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier44% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD NogueirenseSertanense
Expected goals2.38Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
44% / 27% / 28%KampresultatHjemmeseier44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Dobbel sjanse1272.7%1.38
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Ja 48% · Nei 52%Begge lag scorerNei52%1.92
2.38 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
AD Nogueirense win44%2.27
Uavgjort27%3.70
Sertanense win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Nogueirense1.36

Hjemme share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals2.38Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%

Sertanense1.02

Borte share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nei 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

AD Nogueirense

0.00pts / match
Spilt0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Poeng0

SignalNei recent signal

Borte-context · form sequence

Sertanense

0.00pts / match
Spilt1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Poeng0

SignalNei recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
28%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.36
Expected goals
1.02
AD NogueirenseSertanense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Nogueirense signalNei recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sertanense signalNei recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Nogueirense vunnet 44%,Uavgjort 27%,Sertanense vunnet 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.38 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under