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EUR UEFA Europa League - Qualifikation · Spiel ·

Lech Posen vs FC Thun

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.67 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg57%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg19%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg57% selection probability
Projected score2–1Lech PosenFC Thun
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über50% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
57% / 24% / 19%SpielergebnisHeimsieg57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Thun win (19.2%)Doppelte Chance1X80.8%1.24
Über 50% · Unter 50%Goals 2.5Über50%2.00
Ja 53% · Nein 47%Beide Teams treffenJa53%1.89
2.67 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lech Posen win57%1.751.5757.9%
Unentschieden24%4.173.8023.9%
FC Thun win19%5.265.0018.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lech Posen1.68

Heim share of expected goals 62.9%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 50% · Unter 50%

FC Thun0.99

Auswärts share of expected goals 37.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nein 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Lech Posen

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FC Thun

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
19%
12
Points from supplied form
4
1.68
Expected goals
0.99
Lech PosenFC Thun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lech Posen signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Thun signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Lech Posen vs FC Thun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lech Posen Gewinn 57%,Unentschieden 24%,FC Thun Gewinn 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Über 2.5 50% · Current selection Über