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EUR UEFA Europa League - Qualifikation · Spiel ·

Besiktas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.64 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg44%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg30%
Baseline forecastHeimsiegTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg44% selection probability
Projected score1–1BesiktasFK Kauno Zalgiris
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter51% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
44% / 26% / 30%SpielergebnisHeimsieg44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Doppelte Chance1274.2%1.35
Über 49% · Unter 51%Goals 2.5Unter51%1.96
Ja 53% · Nein 47%Beide Teams treffenJa53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Besiktas win44%2.27
Unentschieden26%3.85
FK Kauno Zalgiris win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Besiktas1.46

Heim share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 49% · Unter 51%

FK Kauno Zalgiris1.18

Auswärts share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nein 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Besiktas

3.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkte15

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Zalgiris

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
30%
15
Points from supplied form
7
1.46
Expected goals
1.18
BesiktasFK Kauno Zalgiris
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Besiktas signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Kauno Zalgiris signalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Besiktas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Besiktas Gewinn 44%,Unentschieden 26%,FK Kauno Zalgiris Gewinn 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Über 2.5 49% · Current selection Unter