MatchFormula Zoek een wedstrijd
Menu
UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
EUR UEFA Europa League - Kwalificatie · Wedstrijd ·

Lech Poznan vs FC Thun

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.67 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst57%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst19%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst57% selection probability
Projected score2–1Lech PoznanFC Thun
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven50% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
57% / 24% / 19%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Thun win (19.2%)Dubbele Kans1X80.8%1.24
Boven 50% · Onder 50%Goals 2.5Boven50%2.00
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
2.67 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lech Poznan win57%1.751.5757.9%
Gelijkspel24%4.173.8023.9%
FC Thun win19%5.265.0018.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lech Poznan1.68

Thuis share of expected goals 62.9%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 50% · Onder 50%

FC Thun0.99

Uit share of expected goals 37.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Lech Poznan

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FC Thun

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
19%
12
Points from supplied form
4
1.68
Expected goals
0.99
Lech PoznanFC Thun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lech Poznan signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Thun signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Lech Poznan vs FC Thun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lech Poznan gewonnen 57%,Gelijkspel 24%,FC Thun gewonnen 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Boven 2.5 50% · Current selection Boven