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EUR Лига Европы УЕФА - Квал. · Матч ·

Лех Познань vs ФК Тун

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.67 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев57%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей19%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев57% selection probability
Projected score2–1Лех ПознаньФК Тун
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше50% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
57% / 24% / 19%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Тун win (19.2%)Двойной шанс1X80.8%1.24
Больше 50% · Меньше 50%Goals 2.5Больше50%2.00
Да 53% · Нет 47%Обе забьютДа53%1.89
2.67 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Лех Познань win57%1.751.5757.9%
Ничья24%4.173.8023.9%
ФК Тун win19%5.265.0018.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Лех Познань1.68

Хозяева share of expected goals 62.9%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 50% · Меньше 50%

ФК Тун0.99

Гости share of expected goals 37.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Нет 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Лех Познань

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Тун

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
19%
12
Points from supplied form
4
1.68
Expected goals
0.99
Лех ПознаньФК Тун
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Лех Познань signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Тун signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Лех Познань vs ФК Тун FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Лех Познань выигрыш 57%,Ничья 24%,ФК Тун выигрыш 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · ТБ 2.5 50% · Current selection Больше