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EUR UEFA Europa League Qualifying · Maç ·

Lech Poznan vs FC Thun

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.67 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır57%
Beraberlik24%
Deplasman kazanır19%
Market-based forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır57% selection probability
Projected score2–1Lech PoznanFC Thun
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst50% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
57% / 24% / 19%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Thun win (19.2%)Çifte Şans1X80.8%1.24
Üst 50% · Alt 50%Goals 2.5Üst50%2.00
Evet 53% · Hayır 47%Karşılıklı gol varEvet53%1.89
2.67 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.5 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimYok
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lech Poznan win57%1.751.5757.9%
Beraberlik24%4.173.8023.9%
FC Thun win19%5.265.0018.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lech Poznan1.68

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 62.9%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 50% · Alt 50%

FC Thun0.99

Deplasman share of expected goals 37.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 53% · Hayır 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Lech Poznan

2.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puan12

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

FC Thun

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
19%
12
Points from supplied form
4
1.68
Expected goals
0.99
Lech PoznanFC Thun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lech Poznan signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Thun signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Lech Poznan vs FC Thun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lech Poznan kazanç 57%,Beraberlik 24%,FC Thun kazanç 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · 2.5 Üst 50% · Current selection Üst