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DEU Deutschland - 3. Liga · Spiel ·

Verl vs Fortuna Köln

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.18 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg52%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg24%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 52% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg52% selection probability
Projected score2–1VerlFortuna Köln
Expected goals3.18Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über61% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
52% / 24% / 24%SpielergebnisHeimsieg52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fortuna Köln win (24%)Doppelte Chance1X76%1.32
Über 61% · Unter 39%Goals 2.5Über61%1.64
Ja 63% · Nein 37%Beide Teams treffenJa63%1.59
3.18 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Verl win52%1.921.7352.3%
Unentschieden24%4.173.7024.5%
Fortuna Köln win24%4.173.9023.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Verl1.87

Heim share of expected goals 58.8%

Total expected goals3.18Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 61% · Unter 39%

Fortuna Köln1.31

Auswärts share of expected goals 41.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nein 37%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Verl

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Fortuna Köln

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
24%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.87
Expected goals
1.31
VerlFortuna Köln
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Verl signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fortuna Köln signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Verl vs Fortuna Köln FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Verl Gewinn 52%,Unentschieden 24%,Fortuna Köln Gewinn 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · Über 2.5 61% · Current selection Über