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DEU Tyskland - 3. Liga · Kamp ·

Verl vs Fortuna Köln

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.18 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr52%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr24%
Market-based forecastHjemmesejrTier B · 52% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr52% selection probability
Projected score2–1VerlFortuna Köln
Expected goals3.18Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
52% / 24% / 24%KampresultatHjemmesejr52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fortuna Köln win (24%)Dobbeltchance1X76%1.32
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Ja 63% · Nej 37%Begge hold scorerJa63%1.59
3.18 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Verl win52%1.921.7352.3%
Uafgjort24%4.173.7024.5%
Fortuna Köln win24%4.173.9023.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Verl1.87

Hjemme share of expected goals 58.8%

Total expected goals3.18Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

Fortuna Köln1.31

Ude share of expected goals 41.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nej 37%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Verl

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Point3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Fortuna Köln

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Vundet probability excluding draw
24%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.87
Expected goals
1.31
VerlFortuna Köln
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Verl signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fortuna Köln signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Verl vs Fortuna Köln FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Verl vundet 52%,Uafgjort 24%,Fortuna Köln vundet 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over