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DEU Германия - 3-я лига · Матч ·

Ферль vs Фортуна Кёльн

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.18 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев52%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей24%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 52% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев52% selection probability
Projected score2–1ФерльФортуна Кёльн
Expected goals3.18Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше61% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
52% / 24% / 24%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фортуна Кёльн win (24%)Двойной шанс1X76%1.32
Больше 61% · Меньше 39%Goals 2.5Больше61%1.64
Да 63% · Нет 37%Обе забьютДа63%1.59
3.18 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.2 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ферль win52%1.921.7352.3%
Ничья24%4.173.7024.5%
Фортуна Кёльн win24%4.173.9023.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ферль1.87

Хозяева share of expected goals 58.8%

Total expected goals3.18Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 61% · Меньше 39%

Фортуна Кёльн1.31

Гости share of expected goals 41.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 63% · Нет 37%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Ферль

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Фортуна Кёльн

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
24%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.87
Expected goals
1.31
ФерльФортуна Кёльн
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ферль signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фортуна Кёльн signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Ферль vs Фортуна Кёльн FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ферль выигрыш 52%,Ничья 24%,Фортуна Кёльн выигрыш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · ТБ 2.5 61% · Current selection Больше