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DEU Tyskland - 3.Liga · Match ·

Verl vs Fortuna Cologne

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.18 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger52%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger24%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 52% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger52% selection probability
Projected score2–1VerlFortuna Cologne
Expected goals3.18Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över61% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
52% / 24% / 24%MatchresultatHemmaseger52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fortuna Cologne win (24%)Dubbelchans1X76%1.32
Över 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Över61%1.64
Ja 63% · Nej 37%Båda lagen gör målJa63%1.59
3.18 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.2 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Verl win52%1.921.7352.3%
Oavgjort24%4.173.7024.5%
Fortuna Cologne win24%4.173.9023.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Verl1.87

Hemma share of expected goals 58.8%

Total expected goals3.18Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 61% · Under 39%

Fortuna Cologne1.31

Borta share of expected goals 41.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nej 37%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Verl

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Fortuna Cologne

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
24%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.87
Expected goals
1.31
VerlFortuna Cologne
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Verl signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fortuna Cologne signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Verl vs Fortuna Cologne FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Verl vunnen 52%,Oavgjort 24%,Fortuna Cologne vunnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · Över 2.5 61% · Current selection Över