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DEU Germania - Lega 3 · Partita ·

Verl vs Fortuna Cologne

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.18 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa52%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite24%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 52% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa52% selection probability
Projected score2–1VerlFortuna Cologne
Expected goals3.18Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra61% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
52% / 24% / 24%Esito partitaVittoria casa52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fortuna Cologne win (24%)Doppia Chance1X76%1.32
Sopra 61% · Sotto 39%Goals 2.5Sopra61%1.64
Sì 63% · No 37%Entrambe le squadre segnano63%1.59
3.18 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Verl win52%1.921.7352.3%
Pareggio24%4.173.7024.5%
Fortuna Cologne win24%4.173.9023.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Verl1.87

Casa share of expected goals 58.8%

Total expected goals3.18Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 61% · Sotto 39%

Fortuna Cologne1.31

Trasferta share of expected goals 41.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 63% · No 37%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Verl

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Fortuna Cologne

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Vinta probability excluding draw
24%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.87
Expected goals
1.31
VerlFortuna Cologne
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Verl signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fortuna Cologne signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Verl vs Fortuna Cologne FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Verl vinta 52%,Pareggio 24%,Fortuna Cologne vinta 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · Sopra 2.5 61% · Current selection Sopra