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DEU Deutschland - 3. Liga · Spiel ·

SV Wehen Wiesbaden vs Rot-Weiss Essen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.31 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg32%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg43%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg43% selection probability
Projected score2–2SV Wehen WiesbadenRot-Weiss Essen
Expected goals3.31Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über64% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
32% / 26% / 43%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Doppelte Chance1274.3%1.35
Über 64% · Unter 36%Goals 2.5Über64%1.56
Ja 66% · Nein 34%Beide Teams treffenJa66%1.52
3.31 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
10.9 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapSV Wehen Wiesbaden winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SV Wehen Wiesbaden win32%3.132.9031.2%+0.8 pp
Unentschieden26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp
Rot-Weiss Essen win43%2.332.1043%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SV Wehen Wiesbaden1.67

Heim share of expected goals 50.5%

Total expected goals3.31Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 64% · Unter 36%

Rot-Weiss Essen1.64

Auswärts share of expected goals 49.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 66% · Nein 34%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

SV Wehen Wiesbaden

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Rot-Weiss Essen

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
43%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.67
Expected goals
1.64
SV Wehen WiesbadenRot-Weiss Essen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SV Wehen Wiesbaden signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rot-Weiss Essen signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

SV Wehen Wiesbaden vs Rot-Weiss Essen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SV Wehen Wiesbaden Gewinn 32%,Unentschieden 26%,Rot-Weiss Essen Gewinn 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Über 2.5 64% · Current selection Über