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DEU Germany 3. Liga · Fixture ·

Wehen SV vs Rot-Weiss Essen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.31 expected goals
Away form
Home win32%
Draw26%
Away win43%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win43% selection probability
Projected score2–2Wehen SVRot-Weiss Essen
Expected goals3.31Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 26% / 43%Match resultAway win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Double chance1274.3%1.35
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Yes 66% · No 34%Both teams scoreYes66%1.52
3.31 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapWehen SV winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Wehen SV win32%3.132.9031.2%+0.8 pp
Draw26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp
Rot-Weiss Essen win43%2.332.1043%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wehen SV1.67

Home share of expected goals 50.5%

Total expected goals3.31Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

Rot-Weiss Essen1.64

Away share of expected goals 49.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 66% · No 34%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Wehen SV

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Rot-Weiss Essen

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Win probability excluding draw
43%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.67
Expected goals
1.64
Wehen SVRot-Weiss Essen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wehen SV signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rot-Weiss Essen signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Wehen SV vs Rot-Weiss Essen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wehen SV win 32%,Draw 26%,Rot-Weiss Essen win 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over