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DEU Germany 3. Liga · Fixture ·

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Ingolstadt

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.14 expected goals
Away form
Home win33%
Draw27%
Away win40%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win40% selection probability
Projected score2–2SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachFC Ingolstadt
Expected goals3.14Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
33% / 27% / 40%Match resultAway win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Double chance1273.4%1.36
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.14 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win33%3.032.8031.7%
Draw27%3.703.3026.9%
FC Ingolstadt win40%2.502.1541.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1.54

Home share of expected goals 49%

Total expected goals3.14Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

FC Ingolstadt1.60

Away share of expected goals 51%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

1.50pts / match
Played4Wins2Drawn0Losses2Points6

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/4

Away-context · form sequence

FC Ingolstadt

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Win probability excluding draw
40%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.54
Expected goals
1.60
SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachFC Ingolstadt
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach signalHome clean sheets: 2/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Ingolstadt signalHome won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Ingolstadt FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win 33%,Draw 27%,FC Ingolstadt win 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over