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DEU Germany 3. Liga · Fixture ·

MSV Duisburg vs Wurzburger Kickers

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Away form
Home win61%
Draw24%
Away win16%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 61% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win61% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSV DuisburgWurzburger Kickers
Expected goals3.20Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
61% / 24% / 16%Match resultHome win61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wurzburger Kickers win (15.7%)Double chance1X84.3%1.19
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.20 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MSV Duisburg win61%1.641.4462.1%
Draw24%4.173.8023.5%
Wurzburger Kickers win16%6.256.2514.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSV Duisburg2.04

Home share of expected goals 63.7%

Total expected goals3.20Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Wurzburger Kickers1.16

Away share of expected goals 36.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

MSV Duisburg

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Wurzburger Kickers

2.00pts / match
Played2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Win probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
4
2.04
Expected goals
1.16
MSV DuisburgWurzburger Kickers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSV Duisburg signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wurzburger Kickers signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

MSV Duisburg vs Wurzburger Kickers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSV Duisburg win 61%,Draw 24%,Wurzburger Kickers win 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over