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DEU Germany 3. Liga · Fixture ·

TSG Hoffenheim II vs Jahn Regensburg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.40 expected goals
Away form
Home win36%
Draw25%
Away win39%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win39% selection probability
Projected score2–2TSG Hoffenheim IIJahn Regensburg
Expected goals3.40Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over66% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 25% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Double chance1274.5%1.34
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Yes 67% · No 33%Both teams scoreYes67%1.49
3.40 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapTSG Hoffenheim II winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
TSG Hoffenheim II win36%2.782.5535.2%+0.8 pp
Draw25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp
Jahn Regensburg win39%2.562.3039.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

TSG Hoffenheim II1.78

Home share of expected goals 52.4%

Total expected goals3.40Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%

Jahn Regensburg1.62

Away share of expected goals 47.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 67% · No 33%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

TSG Hoffenheim II

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Jahn Regensburg

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Win probability excluding draw
39%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.78
Expected goals
1.62
TSG Hoffenheim IIJahn Regensburg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01TSG Hoffenheim II signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jahn Regensburg signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

TSG Hoffenheim II vs Jahn Regensburg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

TSG Hoffenheim II win 36%,Draw 25%,Jahn Regensburg win 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.40 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over