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DEU Niemcy - 3. Liga · Mecz ·

MSV Duisburg vs Wurzburger Kickers

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy61%
Remis24%
Wygrana gości16%
Market-based forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier B · 61% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy61% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSV DuisburgWurzburger Kickers
Expected goals3.20Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej62% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
61% / 24% / 16%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wurzburger Kickers win (15.7%)Podwójna szansa1X84.3%1.19
Powyżej 62% · Poniżej 38%Goals 2.5Powyżej62%1.61
Tak 63% · Nie 37%Obie drużyny strzeląTak63%1.59
3.20 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.3 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimBrak
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MSV Duisburg win61%1.641.4462.1%
Remis24%4.173.8023.5%
Wurzburger Kickers win16%6.256.2514.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSV Duisburg2.04

Gospodarze share of expected goals 63.7%

Total expected goals3.20Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 62% · Poniżej 38%

Wurzburger Kickers1.16

Goście share of expected goals 36.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 63% · Nie 37%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

MSV Duisburg

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Wurzburger Kickers

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Punkty4

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
4
2.04
Expected goals
1.16
MSV DuisburgWurzburger Kickers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSV Duisburg signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wurzburger Kickers signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

MSV Duisburg vs Wurzburger Kickers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSV Duisburg wygrana 61%,Remis 24%,Wurzburger Kickers wygrana 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Powyżej 2.5 62% · Current selection Powyżej