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LTU Litauen - A Lyga · Final ·

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score2–3Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg44%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg30%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg44% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK Zalgiris VilniusBanga Gargzdai
Expected goals2.04Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter66% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
44% / 26% / 30%SpielergebnisHeimsieg44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Doppelte Chance1274%1.35
Über 34% · Unter 66%Goals 2.5Unter66%1.52
Ja 42% · Nein 58%Beide Teams treffenNein58%1.72
2.04 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.0 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapFK Zalgiris Vilnius winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Zalgiris Vilnius win44%2.272.0044.7%-0.7 pp
Unentschieden26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Banga Gargzdai win30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius1.03

Heim share of expected goals 50.5%

Total expected goals2.04Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 34% · Unter 66%

Banga Gargzdai1.01

Auswärts share of expected goals 49.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 42% · Nein 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Banga Gargzdai

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.03
Expected goals
1.01
FK Zalgiris VilniusBanga Gargzdai
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Zalgiris Vilnius signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Banga Gargzdai signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Gewinn 44%,Unentschieden 26%,Banga Gargzdai Gewinn 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.04 · Über 2.5 34% · Current selection Unter