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LTU Lituanie - A Lyga · Final ·

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score2–3Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile44%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur30%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Perdu
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile44% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK Zalgiris VilniusBanga Gargzdai
Expected goals2.04Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de66% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
44% / 26% / 30%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Double chance1274%1.35
Plus de 34% · Moins de 66%Goals 2.5Moins de66%1.52
Oui 42% · Non 58%Les deux équipes marquentNon58%1.72
2.04 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapFK Zalgiris Vilnius winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Zalgiris Vilnius win44%2.272.0044.7%-0.7 pp
Nul26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Banga Gargzdai win30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius1.03

Domicile share of expected goals 50.5%

Total expected goals2.04Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 34% · Moins de 66%

Banga Gargzdai1.01

Extérieur share of expected goals 49.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 42% · Non 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Banga Gargzdai

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gagné probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.03
Expected goals
1.01
FK Zalgiris VilniusBanga Gargzdai
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Zalgiris Vilnius signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Banga Gargzdai signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Zalgiris Vilnius victoire 44%,Nul 26%,Banga Gargzdai victoire 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.04 · Plus de 2.5 34% · Current selection Moins de