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LTU Литва - А Лига · Final ·

Жалгирис Вилнюс vs Банга Гаргздай

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score2–3Прогноза 1–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина44%
Равен26%
Победа за госта30%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Непознат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Жалгирис ВилнюсБанга Гаргздай
Expected goals2.04Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под66% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
44% / 26% / 30%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Двоен шанс1274%1.35
Над 34% · Под 66%Goals 2.5Под66%1.52
Да 42% · Не 58%И двата отбора да отбележатНе58%1.72
2.04 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.0 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapЖалгирис Вилнюс winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Жалгирис Вилнюс win44%2.272.0044.7%-0.7 pp
Равен26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Банга Гаргздай win30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Жалгирис Вилнюс1.03

Домакин share of expected goals 50.5%

Total expected goals2.04Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 34% · Под 66%

Банга Гаргздай1.01

Гост share of expected goals 49.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 42% · Не 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Жалгирис Вилнюс

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Банга Гаргздай

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.03
Expected goals
1.01
Жалгирис ВилнюсБанга Гаргздай
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Жалгирис Вилнюс signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Банга Гаргздай signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Жалгирис Вилнюс vs Банга Гаргздай FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Жалгирис Вилнюс печеливш 44%,Равен 26%,Банга Гаргздай печеливш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.04 · Над 2.5 34% · Current selection Под