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LTU Litauen - A Lyga · Final ·

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score2–3Prognos 1–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger44%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger30%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Förlorad
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger44% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK Zalgiris VilniusBanga Gargzdai
Expected goals2.04Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under66% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
44% / 26% / 30%MatchresultatHemmaseger44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Dubbelchans1274%1.35
Över 34% · Under 66%Goals 2.5Under66%1.52
Ja 42% · Nej 58%Båda lagen gör målNej58%1.72
2.04 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.0 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapFK Zalgiris Vilnius winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Zalgiris Vilnius win44%2.272.0044.7%-0.7 pp
Oavgjort26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Banga Gargzdai win30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius1.03

Hemma share of expected goals 50.5%

Total expected goals2.04Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 34% · Under 66%

Banga Gargzdai1.01

Borta share of expected goals 49.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 42% · Nej 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Banga Gargzdai

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.03
Expected goals
1.01
FK Zalgiris VilniusBanga Gargzdai
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Zalgiris Vilnius signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Banga Gargzdai signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vunnen 44%,Oavgjort 26%,Banga Gargzdai vunnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.04 · Över 2.5 34% · Current selection Under