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LTU Lituania - A Lyga · Final ·

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score2–3Predicție 1–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde44%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți30%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Pierdut
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde44% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK Zalgiris VilniusBanga Gargzdai
Expected goals2.04Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub66% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
44% / 26% / 30%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Șansă dublă1274%1.35
Peste 34% · Sub 66%Goals 2.5Sub66%1.52
Da 42% · Nu 58%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu58%1.72
2.04 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapFK Zalgiris Vilnius winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Zalgiris Vilnius win44%2.272.0044.7%-0.7 pp
Egal26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Banga Gargzdai win30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius1.03

Gazde share of expected goals 50.5%

Total expected goals2.04Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 34% · Sub 66%

Banga Gargzdai1.01

Oaspeți share of expected goals 49.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 42% · Nu 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Banga Gargzdai

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Câștig probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.03
Expected goals
1.01
FK Zalgiris VilniusBanga Gargzdai
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Zalgiris Vilnius signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Banga Gargzdai signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Zalgiris Vilnius câștig 44%,Egal 26%,Banga Gargzdai câștig 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.04 · Peste 2.5 34% · Current selection Sub