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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Spiel ·

Gimasia y Tiro vs Nueva Chicago

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.88 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg48%
Unentschieden32%
Auswärtssieg19%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg48% selection probability
Projected score1–1Gimasia y TiroNueva Chicago
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter71% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
48% / 32% / 19%SpielergebnisHeimsieg48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nueva Chicago win (19.5%)Doppelte Chance1X80.5%1.24
Über 29% · Unter 71%Goals 2.5Unter71%1.41
Ja 33% · Nein 67%Beide Teams treffenNein67%1.49
1.88 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapNueva Chicago winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gimasia y Tiro win48%2.081.9548%0.0 pp
Unentschieden32%3.132.9032.3%-0.3 pp
Nueva Chicago win19%5.264.7519.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gimasia y Tiro1.28

Heim share of expected goals 68.1%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 29% · Unter 71%

Nueva Chicago0.60

Auswärts share of expected goals 31.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 33% · Nein 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Gimasia y Tiro

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Nueva Chicago

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
19%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.28
Expected goals
0.60
Gimasia y TiroNueva Chicago
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gimasia y Tiro signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nueva Chicago signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Gimasia y Tiro vs Nueva Chicago FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gimasia y Tiro Gewinn 48%,Unentschieden 32%,Nueva Chicago Gewinn 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · Über 2.5 29% · Current selection Unter