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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Wedstrijd ·

Gimnasia y Tiro vs Nueva Chicago

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.88 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst48%
Gelijkspel32%
Uitwinst19%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst48% selection probability
Projected score1–1Gimnasia y TiroNueva Chicago
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder71% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
48% / 32% / 19%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nueva Chicago win (19.5%)Dubbele Kans1X80.5%1.24
Boven 29% · Onder 71%Goals 2.5Onder71%1.41
Ja 33% · Nee 67%Beide teams scorenNee67%1.49
1.88 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapNueva Chicago winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gimnasia y Tiro win48%2.081.9548%0.0 pp
Gelijkspel32%3.132.9032.3%-0.3 pp
Nueva Chicago win19%5.264.7519.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gimnasia y Tiro1.28

Thuis share of expected goals 68.1%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 29% · Onder 71%

Nueva Chicago0.60

Uit share of expected goals 31.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 33% · Nee 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Gimnasia y Tiro

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Nueva Chicago

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
19%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.28
Expected goals
0.60
Gimnasia y TiroNueva Chicago
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gimnasia y Tiro signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nueva Chicago signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Gimnasia y Tiro vs Nueva Chicago FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gimnasia y Tiro gewonnen 48%,Gelijkspel 32%,Nueva Chicago gewonnen 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · Boven 2.5 29% · Current selection Onder