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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Match ·

Gimnasia y Tiro vs Nueva Chicago

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.88 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile48%
Nul32%
Victoire à l’extérieur19%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile48% selection probability
Projected score1–1Gimnasia y TiroNueva Chicago
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de71% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
48% / 32% / 19%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nueva Chicago win (19.5%)Double chance1X80.5%1.24
Plus de 29% · Moins de 71%Goals 2.5Moins de71%1.41
Oui 33% · Non 67%Les deux équipes marquentNon67%1.49
1.88 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapNueva Chicago winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gimnasia y Tiro win48%2.081.9548%0.0 pp
Nul32%3.132.9032.3%-0.3 pp
Nueva Chicago win19%5.264.7519.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gimnasia y Tiro1.28

Domicile share of expected goals 68.1%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 29% · Moins de 71%

Nueva Chicago0.60

Extérieur share of expected goals 31.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 33% · Non 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Gimnasia y Tiro

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Nueva Chicago

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gagné probability excluding draw
19%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.28
Expected goals
0.60
Gimnasia y TiroNueva Chicago
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gimnasia y Tiro signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nueva Chicago signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Gimnasia y Tiro vs Nueva Chicago FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gimnasia y Tiro victoire 48%,Nul 32%,Nueva Chicago victoire 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · Plus de 2.5 29% · Current selection Moins de