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Sunderland vs Fulham

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.24 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg38%
Unentschieden31%
Auswärtssieg31%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg38% selection probability
Projected score1–1SunderlandFulham
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter61% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
38% / 31% / 31%SpielergebnisHeimsieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.8%)Doppelte Chance1269.2%1.45
Über 39% · Unter 61%Goals 2.5Unter61%1.64
Ja 46% · Nein 54%Beide Teams treffenNein54%1.85
2.24 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.9 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Sunderland win38%2.63
Unentschieden31%3.23
Fulham win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sunderland1.23

Heim share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 39% · Unter 61%

Fulham1.01

Auswärts share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nein 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Sunderland

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Fulham

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
31%
8
Points from supplied form
4
1.23
Expected goals
1.01
SunderlandFulham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sunderland signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fulham signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Sunderland vs Fulham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sunderland Gewinn 38%,Unentschieden 31%,Fulham Gewinn 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Über 2.5 39% · Current selection Unter