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ENG Αγγλία - Πρέμιερ Λιγκ · Αγώνας ·

Σάντερλαντ vs Φούλαμ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.24 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου38%
Ισοπαλία31%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου31%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου38% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΣάντερλαντΦούλαμ
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω61% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
38% / 31% / 31%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.8%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1269.2%1.45
Άνω 39% · Κάτω 61%Goals 2.5Κάτω61%1.64
Ναι 46% · Όχι 54%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι54%1.85
2.24 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.9 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Σάντερλαντ win38%2.63
Ισοπαλία31%3.23
Φούλαμ win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Σάντερλαντ1.23

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 39% · Κάτω 61%

Φούλαμ1.01

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 46% · Όχι 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Σάντερλαντ

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Φούλαμ

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
31%
8
Points from supplied form
4
1.23
Expected goals
1.01
ΣάντερλαντΦούλαμ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Σάντερλαντ signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Φούλαμ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Σάντερλαντ vs Φούλαμ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Σάντερλαντ νίκη 38%,Ισοπαλία 31%,Φούλαμ νίκη 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Άνω 2.5 39% · Current selection Κάτω