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ENG England Premier League · Maç ·

Sunderland vs Fulham

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.24 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır38%
Beraberlik31%
Deplasman kazanır31%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır38% selection probability
Projected score1–1SunderlandFulham
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt61% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
38% / 31% / 31%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.8%)Çifte Şans1269.2%1.45
Üst 39% · Alt 61%Goals 2.5Alt61%1.64
Evet 46% · Hayır 54%Karşılıklı gol varHayır54%1.85
2.24 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.9 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Sunderland win38%2.63
Beraberlik31%3.23
Fulham win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sunderland1.23

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 39% · Alt 61%

Fulham1.01

Deplasman share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 46% · Hayır 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Sunderland

1.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puan8

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Fulham

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
31%
8
Points from supplied form
4
1.23
Expected goals
1.01
SunderlandFulham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sunderland signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fulham signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Sunderland vs Fulham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sunderland kazanç 38%,Beraberlik 31%,Fulham kazanç 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · 2.5 Üst 39% · Current selection Alt