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ENG Engeland - Premier League · Wedstrijd ·

Sunderland vs Fulham

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.24 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst38%
Gelijkspel31%
Uitwinst31%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst38% selection probability
Projected score1–1SunderlandFulham
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder61% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
38% / 31% / 31%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.8%)Dubbele Kans1269.2%1.45
Boven 39% · Onder 61%Goals 2.5Onder61%1.64
Ja 46% · Nee 54%Beide teams scorenNee54%1.85
2.24 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Sunderland win38%2.63
Gelijkspel31%3.23
Fulham win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sunderland1.23

Thuis share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 39% · Onder 61%

Fulham1.01

Uit share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nee 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Sunderland

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Fulham

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
31%
8
Points from supplied form
4
1.23
Expected goals
1.01
SunderlandFulham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sunderland signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fulham signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Sunderland vs Fulham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sunderland gewonnen 38%,Gelijkspel 31%,Fulham gewonnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Boven 2.5 39% · Current selection Onder