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ENG England - Premier League · Spiel ·

Leeds vs Brentford

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.68 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg37%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg34%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg37% selection probability
Projected score1–1LeedsBrentford
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über50% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
37% / 29% / 34%SpielergebnisHeimsieg37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Doppelte Chance1271.2%1.40
Über 50% · Unter 50%Goals 2.5Über50%2.00
Ja 55% · Nein 45%Beide Teams treffenJa55%1.82
2.68 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.1 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Leeds win37%2.70
Unentschieden29%3.45
Brentford win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leeds1.38

Heim share of expected goals 51.5%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 50% · Unter 50%

Brentford1.30

Auswärts share of expected goals 48.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nein 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Leeds

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Brentford

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
34%
10
Points from supplied form
8
1.38
Expected goals
1.30
LeedsBrentford
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leeds signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brentford signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Leeds vs Brentford FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leeds Gewinn 37%,Unentschieden 29%,Brentford Gewinn 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Über 2.5 50% · Current selection Über